Will key political events of the 21st century blindside modern experts? Will the
most serious threats to society be anticipated or even recognized by those who witnessed
the Cold War, the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union?
To what degree is our experience with deterrence, arms races and alliance structures
relevant to current destabilizing forces?
This collection of essays deals with these timely questions. The essays were prepared
for a December 1997 conference of that name sponsored by the Midwest Consortium
for International Security Studies (MCISS), a program of the American Academy of
Arts and Sciences. They probe how international security studies must redefine its
concerns in order to remain pertinent; for example, how might illicit traffic in
nuclear materials or catastrophic damage to national infrastructure cause large-scale
violence? Several papers extend this analysis to study how violence may be mitigated
using, for example, an improved understanding of social identity and group loyalty
or the creation of a transboundary legal order.
The volume conveys cautionary but hopeful messages, challenging much of the dogma
common among international security analysts in the 1990s.
Edited by Charles Hermann, Harold Jacobson, and Anne S. Moffat and published by
the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Midwest Center, Chicago, Illinois.
History of MCISS
Notes on the Contributors
The New Evils of the 21st Century
Robert D. Kaplan
The Vulnerability of the Networks That We Live By
Weapons of Mass Destruction and Physical Heritage of the Cold War
Social Identity, Group Loyalty, and Intergroup Conflict
Group Loyalty and Ethnic Violence
Donald L. Horowitz
International Relations in the Global Village
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