Daniel S. Nagin

Daniel S. Nagin is Lester Hamburg University Professor of Public Policy and Statistics. His research focuses on the evolution of criminal and antisocial behaviors over the life course, the deterrent effect of criminal and non-criminal penalties on illegal behaviors, and the development of statistical methods for analyzing longitudinal data. His work has appeared in such diverse outlets as the American Economic Review, American Sociological Review, Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Journal of Sociology, Archives of General Psychiatry, Criminology, Child Development, Demography, Psychological Methodology, Law & Society Review, Crime and Justice Annual Review, Operations Research, and Stanford Law Review. He is the author of Group-based Modeling of Development (Harvard University Press, 2005), co-editor of Criminology and Public Policy, and chaired the National Research Council’s Committee on Deterrence and the Death Penalty. He is the recipient of the American Society of Criminology’s Edwin H Sutherland Award in 2006 and the August Vollmer Award in 2025, the Stockholm Prize in Criminology in 2014, the National Academy of Science Award for Scientific Reviewing in 2017, and was elected to the National Academy of Sciences in 2025.