Philip Eyrikson Tetlock

Lenore Annenberg University Professor in Democracy and Citizenship. Interdisciplinary research program uses diverse methods to explore the complexities of developing metrics for evaluating judgment in experimental and real-world settings and the bidirectional influence of psychological and political processes on each other. Books include Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (2015, with Dan Gardner, Unmaking the West: What-If Scenarios that Rewrite World History (2006, Ed. with R.N. Lebow, & G.Parker), and Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know? Awarded Harold Lasswell Award for Distinguished Scientific Contribution in the Field of Political Psychology, Grawemeyer World Order Prize, and MacArthur Fellow in International Security and Conflict Resolution. Received awards from the American Psychological Association, the American Political Science Association and the National Academy of Sciences.